Five must-read fantasy football stats for Week 17

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Five must-read fantasy football stats for Week 17 Published: Dec 30, 2016 at 10:43 AM NFL Network Analytics Expert Happy 2017! I can't believe the season has come and almost gone already. Thank you for making my first season at NFL Media a lot of fun. I truly appreciate it and look forward to bringing even more number strategies to the team next season. Every football fan knows that Week 17 is me sy when it comes to projecting player and team performance. Do I love my projections this week? Nope. But I do believe that thinking through the strategies teams might use is a good way to give yourself the best opportunities to pick the right players. As such, the stats I have added in are meant to give you some context for the games where something is on the line still. Good luck!! 1) Projections Darqueze Dennard Jersey Note: These projections are based on my stat-line projection for each player translated into standard fantasy scoring. These are the median values. Tip: Use the order and points as a way to compare ... e.g. if a running back is projected to earn 1.5 points more than the guy behind him, but only 0.15 points le s than the guy in front of him, take the magnitude into consideration. Also, asterisks (*) mean watch out for injury report changes, but always do that anyway, even if there doesn't happen to be an asterisk. Quarterbacks: , (20.6) , (20.2) , (20.2) , (20.0) , (17.8) , (16.7) , (16.6) Running Backs: , (18.8) , (13.3) , (13.1) , (12.9) , (11.7) , (11.7) , (11.6) Wide Receivers: , (13.7) , (13.3) , (12.7) , (11.5) , (10.7) , (10.7) , (10.3) Tight Ends: , (8.7) , (8.5) , (6.8) , (6.5) , (6.5) , (6.5) , (6.3) Kickers , (8.42) , (7.92) , (7.67) , (7.62) , (7.48) , (7.35) , (7.09) D/STs (10.77) (10.63) (9.15) (8.64) (8.51) (8.46) (8.11) 2) Over the past five weeks, no team has a better turnover differential than the (+13) Not only does the offense have the fewest giveaways over this time period with one but -- and maybe even more importantly -- the defense has 14 takeaways. I am especially interested in the matchup between the receivers and the defensive secondary as they are almost back to full health (only , who is on IR, is mi sing). What's more is that the ' have scored 55 points off of these 14 turnovers, which also paces the NFL over this time period. The have given the ball away only six times in their past five games (which is tied for 10th fewest giveaways over this time) but this is a little more concerning than it seems because they only had eight in their first 10 games. So think of it like this: their rate went from eight giveaways in 10 Kerry Wynn Jersey games (0.8/game) to six giveaways in five games (1.2/game). With running back out and center doubtful, this could add some extra volatility to the ' game plan (read: turnovers). Also, cornerback and linebacker are also questionable, which could mean additional production for the receivers. As far as playoffs are concerned, if Washington wins in the early window then the winner of Packers- is not only the NFC North champ but also earns the very last playoff spot. (If Washington loses to the then the loser of GB-DET will be the sixth seed). If this becomes a must-win for both teams, the total number of points I project for the whole game escalates and so does the risk. What does this mean? It means that in addition to being sure to play , , and , you could think of this game as very boom or bust. Let's say you are behind in a two-week final, maybe you take a shot with or to try to capture some potential upside. The point is, this is risky. Part of the risk is that we won't know how important this game is until after Washington plays and part of it lies in the game script. 3) Quickies: Washington's offense ranks first in yards per touch over the past five games with 8.7 yards, a full 1.1 yards over the league average over this time (7.6 yards is the average). The defense is tough all around but softest to opposing tight ends. Watch injuries here but I have a nice projection for , and appears among my top-10 wide receivers list this week (median projection). Washington's defense is the league's most generous to opposing offenses when it comes to converting third-downs all season (47.6 percent) and they've been extra generous over the past five weeks (50.7 percent). If you are looking for a running back, consider rookie . 4) Two more snacks has the league's best pa ser rating 115.5 and is fourth at 103.1. Brees is also a mere 142 yards away from a 5,000 pa sing yard season ... Now that you have your trivia fix, target this game for a high point total overall. The ' could (and in my projection should) secure the No. 2 seed with a home win but I expect the to make them earn it. Do you know why the Rose Bowl isn't played on New Year's Day when the New Year falls on a Sunday? Hint: to avoid competing against the NFL is not the answer, though probably a happy side effect. The answer is because a long time ago, horses were used to carry the floats for the parade. They parade organizers were worried that the horses would get spooked by the church bells that only are rung on Sundays, and potentially trample the parade spectators. Now it's a tradition. 5) Injuries and rest: So far we know that Pittsburgh is resting almost everyone ( is likely the WR1, and splitting RB1 duties). The will likely only play their starters for part of the game. and are likely to see the most work at their positions. However, McFadden was ill and mi sed practice Friday. , , , and (suspension) are all officially out ... lots more to come. Keep a really good eye on C.J. Uzomah Jersey this. I will do my best to keep Tweets coming Sunday morning! It's going to be a cluster, so try to enjoy the chaos! This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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